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UK

  • Bonds, capital markets, Political risk, Financial Crisis, Politics, Debt, UK, Economy, Government,
    September 3, 2026

    What’s the real crisis in Bonds?

    The media has us all convinced Western Economies are on the verge of a bond meltdown. However, what is really happening is The Great Bond Market Normalisation – a return to real interest rates that reflect the global economy and where nations are. The big risk is that repricing government bonds will crash currently absurd valuations across other financial assets – precipitating a wider market crisis.

    read more
  • Conflict, Defence, Alternative Investments, Political risk, EU, Politics, Ukraine, UK, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Geopolitics, China, USA, Russia,
    August 28, 2026

    Rising Conflict Risks and the Mil-Tec bubble.

    Tensions between Moscow and Europe are rising. There are rumours of war. While Western nations seek to rearm and adopt the lessons learnt by Ukraine, a bubble has developed in Mil-Tec arounds autonomy and drones. Defence investment is not a speculative opportunity – but a key issue for the sustainability and longevity of nations. It’s a complex investment landscape that requires specialist expert knowledge.

    read more
  • Trade, US dollar, Conflict, EU, Political risk, Politics, sustainability, Global Growth, Currency, Debt, UK, Markets, Equities, India, Geopolitics, China, Government, Sovereign Debt, USA,
    August 25, 2026

    What follows the end of the American Age? China? Or India?

    One rule of finance is “follow the money”. The ructions and rising doubts on the sustainability of the US Treasury Market and dollar in the evolving post-US era economy means it may be time for investment transition strategies – where will the future lie? What aspects of US and other Western Democracies will thrive, and how much more investible will China and, perhaps, India become? What are the risks?

    read more
  • UK Debt, Political risk, Politics, UK, Economy, Democracy, Government,
    August 14, 2026

    How Farage Lost the Clacton By-Election

    Markets tend to regard Populist Politics as a threat. They risk destabilisation, dent stability and raise questions about competency. Although Nigel Farage won the Clacton by-election, his brand is badly damaged and that puts Reform in trouble. The question is whether the traditional parties can regain electoral prominence and put in place the necessary policies to repair Broken Britain’s infrastructure and finances – and attract investment.

    read more
  • Climate Change, Defence, Political risk, sustainability, UK, Capitalism, Democracy,
    August 10, 2026

    Climate Change – The Conflict we may never win.

    2026 looks likely to be the warmest year ever. Oceans are charged with energy to drive ever larger storm systems. Wildfires and droughts are ravaging the land. What if this is only the beginning? What if the climate is about to stage a chaotic breakout? Just how resilient will humanity be to a war with an implacable enemy that will give no quarter? What might it mean for the economy?

    read more
  • UK Debt, Housing, Politics, UK, Comment & Miscellany,
    July 31, 2026

    What Chance Burnham of fixing Broken Britain

    Fifty years of political dither leaves the UK looking broken. Faced with massive constrains from taxation and bond markets, there are limited choices from tinkering with spending while trying to look good enough ahead of the next election. Britain needs something more radical – and a complete reform of the system and process.

    read more
  • capital markets, Conflict, Private Capital, Defence, Political risk, UK, Equities, Government Policy,
    July 27, 2026

    Investing in UK Defence to Grow the Economy and protect the Nation.

    The UK has 6 relatively new “mega” Local Government Pension Schemes. They are investing in the UK and globally. But are they focused on the right things? Less than 10% of their significant PE assets are managed by UK based firms. They are giving their money to US firms – further deepening the negative feedback loop diminishing UK capital markets.

    read more
  • UK, The Battle For Hamble,
    July 22, 2026

    Book Review: The Battle For Hamble

    “As advocacy journalism, The Battle for Hamble succeeds handsomely: vivid, indignant, and genuinely illuminating about the perverse incentives and quiet statistical failures inside Britain’s planning machinery.”

    read more
  • Government Policy, Housing, Politics, UK, Economy, Democracy,
    July 22, 2026

    Burnham’s New Regime and Why Social Housing could be a winner!

    Regime Change occurred in the UK with relatively a few headless corpses left on the field of political failure… Burham is juggling with talent, spending and tax constraints, to maintain confidence. To succeed he needs to get radical. Social Housing is one avenue to growth he could pull off, and it could be funded off-balance sheet. The UK ain’t finished yet!

    read more
  • Capitalism, EU, UK, Economy, Democracy, Government,
    July 13, 2026

    Is Norway the model other economies should follow?

    C’mon. England won, but Norway was sparkling. It’s a genuine shame they are out the World Cup, but didn’t they do well? There is much that Norway’s successful blend of capitalist social democracy could teach the rest of the West. Most countries squander their abilities and resources – not Norway.

    read more
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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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