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Economy

  • Nvidia, Risk, AI, Capitalism, Economy,
    November 12, 2026

    Huang, Nvidia, Trump, Corruption and Entitlement…

    Jensen Huang is toast. His fall will trigger doubts and weakness but also demands to know more. Huang has been caught. Who has not? How much more rank corruption is waiting to be exposed among the entitled denizens of the court of King Donald? What sordid skeletons from the past may be reawakened?

    read more
  • Elon Musk, Defence, Political risk, AI, Tesla, Trump, SpaceX, Space, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Regulation,
    November 6, 2026

    What lies ahead for Musk?

    Elon Musk has been described as the biggest loser from the Blue Tsunami midterms – what will it mean for his firms’ valuations, and his future influence. We need to know what really went on between Musk and Trump. Even more critical is the utility of SpaceX’s technology and Starlink’s satellite constellation as a Strategic Resource. Some tough decisions, but sensible choices lie ahead.

    read more
  • USA, Elon Musk, Political risk, Trump, Politics, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Government, Comment & Miscellany,
    November 4, 2026

    The Blue Tsunami, Corruption and Musk

    Democracy wins. Trump was rejected by American voters, but his legacy will remain. The damage to done to the economy, the institutions of state, the constitution, and global power will shape America and geopolitics for decades. It’s unclear how the rest of Trump’s lame duck presidency will play out, but Corruption and the nexus of Wealth and Power will come under massively heightened scrutiny. Should the next US administration nationalise SpaceX?

    read more
  • Government, Political risk, Politics, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, USA,
    November 3, 2026

    Ronald Reagan as President. Compare and Contrast.

    Today’s US Midterms are a Referendum on the Presidency – and will be consequential for global markets. The result will depend entirely how many Republicans are still minded to Vote for MAGA. They might want to think back to an earlier age, the Republican President Ronald Reagan, and ask what the current incumbent and Reagan have in common, if anything.

    read more
  • Elon Musk, Risk, Defence, Conflict, Political risk, Tesla, Politics, SpaceX, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Geopolitics,
    October 23, 2026

    With unlimited wealth comes unconstrained power.

    Elon Musk is the richest man in history. With great wealth comes great power and influence. How wisely is Musk wielding that power? Switching off Starlink in Ukraine, threatening Europe with “devastating consequences” on satellite broadband, and whatever deals he doing on the regulation of his companies all beg closer examination. He raises questions about his accountability, and whose interests he serves.

    read more
  • Europe, Trade, Conflict, Risk, EU, UK, Capitalism, Economy, Geopolitics, France,
    October 14, 2026

    Revolting France threatens Europe with Irrelevancy.

    French political instability and it’s looming fiscal crisis will distract and delay the European project of a shift towards “strategic unity” in the face of a) the immediate security threats from Russia, and b) the long-term geopolitical shift towards China at the end of the Transatlantic American age. How Europe responds to the growing French threat could determine its economic outlook for decades.

    read more
  • Risk, Trade, US dollar, Trump, Political risk, Politics, Markets, Economy, Government, USA,
    October 13, 2026

    Trump Should Have Won the Nobel Prize in Economics

    Should Donald Trump have won the Nobel Prize in Economics? His groundbreaking work on instability and unpredictability, and how naked greed and connections can drive economic growth and prosperity exposes the fundamental weakness of liberal, woke societies. Should economies be driven by innovation and productivity, or by political connections and favour?

    read more
  • AI, Private Capital, Conflict, capital markets, Risk, Alternative Investments, Stocks, Markets, Capitalism, Economy, Geopolitics, Shipping,
    October 8, 2026

    The AI Bubble, Global Shipping and Palestine

    Just how much money is the AI boom going to make? No one really knows, but everyone is placing their bets. AI dominates the stock markets, but is beginning to worry many investors in terms of likely returns. While AI technologies are changing the world, what we see today may not be what we get tomorrow if new technologies emerge, and the current valuation metrics change. AI may be distracting us from real economic impacts elsewhere – like shipping costs.

    read more
  • Conflict, Defence, Risk, Political risk, Politics, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Geopolitics,
    October 1, 2026

    The Need for Speed in the New Defence Sector

    Defence has become the hot new sector, but investors need to understand the geopolitical reality, military requirements, the need for adaptation, and how the battlespace is changing. Defence needs to connect capital to warfighting capabilities that can be deployed now, adapted swiftly, and manufactured in unprecedented volume. The most effective way for the West to win is to demonstrate the will and ability to do so – which is the most likely way to deter our enemies from attacking.

    read more
  • Risk, capital markets, UK Debt, Political risk, Politics, Economy,
    September 30, 2026

    Porridge Extra – Guest Post: The Triple Lock, A Promise Priced for Calm Weather

    Robert Hillman is a highly experienced City Quant, with a legendary record. He’s also a great mate of Bill! He’s come up with a great analysis of the UK’s Triple Lock Pension policy – looking at it as an option... It's well worth reading if you want to figure out smart policy vs political games.

    Yesterday UK premier Andy Burnham made clear the 15-year-old promise to keep rising the UK basic pension is going to change. The government will reinvest the cash it saves in a new national care service.

    read more
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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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