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    • brexit

      November 10, 2026
      Brexit? It was a mistake, but now it’s an opportunity!
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      November 9, 2026
      Blain’s Morning Porridge Extra – Guest Post – Michael Power on L’affaire Huang
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      Anthropic’s IPO is PEAK AI and proxy for a more realistic AI market
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      November 6, 2026
      What lies ahead for Musk?

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Nations

  • Conflict, Defence, Conflict, capital markets, Risk, Private Capital, Political risk, Ukraine, UK, Democracy,
    November 11, 2026

    Armistice Day? Preparing for the next war.

    To avoid war we must be prepared to fight – that a basic dictum from history. While the conflict pressures mount, and political systems are increasingly strained, the defence of Western Economies in a post-Nato era will require massive private capital investment. But many investors are not prepared to step up and finance defence. It’s an attitude that has to change.

    read more
  • Brexit, Euro, capital markets, Risk, Trade, Political risk, EU, UK, Financial Services, Geopolitics,
    November 10, 2026

    Brexit? It was a mistake, but now it’s an opportunity!

    The Brexit Debate is never going to end. But the UK and Europe need to look to the future. The World in 2026 is very different to what short-term populist politicians thought they were selling us in 2016. A new relationship around trade, cooperation, and security, is possible and positive. Moreover, there is an easy win that could accelerate European growth – strengthening and unifying European Capital Markets!

    read more
  • AI, capital markets, Risk, Big Tech, China, USA,
    November 9, 2026

    Blain’s Morning Porridge Extra – Guest Post – Michael Power on L’affaire Huang

    Charlie Munger’s triad has manifested perfectly: Liquor is the intoxicating narrative of infinite AI scaling that defies gravity. Ladies is Ms. Alice Huang, the alleged spy who compromised the King. And Leverage is Nvidia itself—the underwriting spider at the centre of a massively leveraged web of debt and circular financing.

    read more
  • Elon Musk, Defence, Tesla, Trump, Political risk, AI, SpaceX, Space, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Regulation,
    November 6, 2026

    What lies ahead for Musk?

    Elon Musk has been described as the biggest loser from the Blue Tsunami midterms – what will it mean for his firms’ valuations, and his future influence. We need to know what really went on between Musk and Trump. Even more critical is the utility of SpaceX’s technology and Starlink’s satellite constellation as a Strategic Resource. Some tough decisions, but sensible choices lie ahead.

    read more
  • USA, Elon Musk, Political risk, Trump, Politics, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Government, Comment & Miscellany,
    November 4, 2026

    The Blue Tsunami, Corruption and Musk

    Democracy wins. Trump was rejected by American voters, but his legacy will remain. The damage to done to the economy, the institutions of state, the constitution, and global power will shape America and geopolitics for decades. It’s unclear how the rest of Trump’s lame duck presidency will play out, but Corruption and the nexus of Wealth and Power will come under massively heightened scrutiny. Should the next US administration nationalise SpaceX?

    read more
  • Government, Political risk, Politics, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, USA,
    November 3, 2026

    Ronald Reagan as President. Compare and Contrast.

    Today’s US Midterms are a Referendum on the Presidency – and will be consequential for global markets. The result will depend entirely how many Republicans are still minded to Vote for MAGA. They might want to think back to an earlier age, the Republican President Ronald Reagan, and ask what the current incumbent and Reagan have in common, if anything.

    read more
  • capital markets, Risk, Political risk, Fed, Debt, Geopolitics, Bonds, Government, USA,
    October 28, 2026

    Where Have All the Foreign UST buyers gone?

    The US treasury market is the deepest and most liquid market on the planet. But over the last year, foreign investors have been walking away. Why? Is it simply fear of a bear market from rising inflation and the rising quantum of US debt, or the sheer scale of the refinancing required. Or is it more fundamental in terms of geopolitics, a changing investment market, and better returns elsewhere. If so, it’s a lesson every country should absorb.

    read more
  • Elon Musk, Conflict, Risk, Defence, Tesla, Political risk, SpaceX, Politics, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Geopolitics,
    October 23, 2026

    With unlimited wealth comes unconstrained power.

    Elon Musk is the richest man in history. With great wealth comes great power and influence. How wisely is Musk wielding that power? Switching off Starlink in Ukraine, threatening Europe with “devastating consequences” on satellite broadband, and whatever deals he doing on the regulation of his companies all beg closer examination. He raises questions about his accountability, and whose interests he serves.

    read more
  • Conflict, Euro, Risk, EU, Ukraine, ECB, Geopolitics, Sovereign Debt, Russia,
    October 20, 2026

    French Riots – Coming to a high street near you?

    The Russians are masters of Maskirovka, the art of distraction, disinformation and misdirection. After sabotaging the transatlantic economy, the next stage is to destabilise Europe and break its resilience by fermenting social unrest, political conflict, and riots. The current waves of protest are likely to erupt across Europe with the potential of triggering a bond crisis, are deliberate and part of a hostile plan to remove Europe from the board.

    read more
  • Ukraine, Conflict, Defence, Trump, Political risk, Democracy, Government,
    October 15, 2026

    Donald Trump has betrayed the West

    Ukraine was stabbed in the back yesterday. Its defenders found their access to Starshield and Intel on incoming missile strikes suddenly blocked. Trump is saying nothing – but it's increasingly clear the orders came from POTUS. Trump is furious that Zelensky refuses to surrender Ukraine to his good chum Putin. It represents a new nadir of the Trump presidency.

    read more
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This publication is protected by US, UK and International Copyright laws. All rights reserved. No License is granted except for the subscriber’s personal use. Rights will be pursued.

The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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