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Europe

  • Political risk, Financial Crisis, Banks, UK Debt, ECB, Politics, UK, corporate debt, Debt, Economy, Europe,
    November 23, 2023

    Why we won’t fix the UK by selling Natwest to irrational retail investors….

    Jeremy Hunt tried hard to be interesting, but it was all a bit forgettable. An election is coming. How bad will it be? As for selling Natwest to fund UK growth – has Hunt actually considered the outlook for banks as the risk outlook deepens?

    read more
  • EU, Brexit, UK, Economy, Democracy, Europe, Government,
    November 15, 2023

    A Tale of Two Cities: A New Hope with Europe? 

    Athens and London? The power of positive politics is very evident in Greece. Curiously, the surprise appointment of David Cameron as UK Foreign Secretary might just hint at a positive outcome for the UK if it triggers a proper discussion on Brexit failure and our relationship with Europe.

    read more
  • Financial Crisis, Global Growth, UK, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Europe, Geopolitics, Bonds, China, USA,
    October 30, 2023

    What next in the Economic War against the West?

    The Gods of Chaos have brought together an alliance to bring down the West. If its not the weather, it will be Russia, Gas prices, the Middle East and Oil, or maybe the prime global commodity – Chips – is the next thing they will target. I'm staying long Gold.

    read more
  • European Sovereign Credit, Europe, Bonds, China, Italy, USA,
    October 17, 2023

    Biden, Putin and Jet Diplomacy – Italy signals the next European Debt Crisis  

    Biden’s trip to Israel and Jordan vs Putin’s to Beijing - which will prove more meaningful? Meanwhile, Italy’s latest tax cuts and spending plans mimic the Trusterf*ck, but Meloni seems to have got away with it – for how long?

    read more
  • Fed, Credit Markets, UK, Financial Assets, Equities, Capitalism, Economy, Europe, Bonds, China, USA,
    July 13, 2023

    US Inflation looks beaten, but what are the risks the Global Economy might still stall?

    US Inflation looks to have been beaten, but that might not mean very much if the global economy is still headed into recession. Rates and consumption are a lagging problem for the markets, and there is a chance even strong economies will stall.

    read more
  • Financial Crisis, Central Banks, Climate Change, Political risk, Commercial Real Estate, Politics, Businesses, UK, Financial Assets, Artificial Intelligence, Capitalism, Economy, Europe, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Bonds, Geopolitics, China, Government, Sovereign Debt, USA, Supply Chains, Russia, Tech,
    June 30, 2023

    Half Time Score – how is 2023 likely to shape up for markets?

    Markets have been far more positive than expected in 2023 – thus far. There is still much uncertainty out there, but what is the market missing? I have two particular under-played threats to watch – corporate debt and social unrest.

    read more
  • Central Banks, Political risk, Alternative Investments, Global Growth, Commodities, Debt, Financial Assets, Equities, Capitalism, stagflation, Europe, Geopolitics, Inflation, USA,
    June 5, 2023

    Learning from mistakes to call the next ones…

    The debt ceiling crisis has lifted a cloud from markets, but we’re still looking for resolution on inflation, geopolitics and a host of other issues. Maybe the real issues are about valuations – which remain over-extraordinary.

    read more
  • Brazil, India, Europe, Geopolitics, China, Russia, G7,
    May 24, 2023

    BRICS? China’s Economic Strategy is Propaganda-driven in the Geopolitical Rut.

    There is a myth BRICS nations now exceed the GDP of the G7 West. It’s propaganda to boost a story of de-dollarisation, anti-G7 rhetoric and how China and its allies will create a stronger, more equal global market. It’s like watching Stags fight for dominance.

    read more
  • Global Growth, Capitalism, Economy, Europe, China, USA,
    April 18, 2023

    China vs the USA – Does it have to be war?

    China will remain the driver of global growth as the West continues to slide. The economy is reopening swiftly, raising increased fears of de-dollarisation. It’s easy to get emotional, but the reality is its happening, get used to it, and figure out the outcomes. They may surprise you..

    read more
  • Bank of England, Brexit, UK, Europe, Scotland,
    April 7, 2023

    A Porridge from 2033: 10-years of Future Economic History in 1500 words..

    By some freakish temporal rift, a Morning Porridge from 10-years in the future was delivered into my email box last week – describing the monumental political and economic events of the last decade… Freaky eh? Who would expect such a thing…? It happens…

    read more
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  • Geopolitics
  • Gold
  • Government
  • Industry
  • Investments
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  • Property
  • Regulation
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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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