Markets are just enormous voting machines calculating the opinion of every participant, therefore no single “idiot” can drive them.. but they can certainly influence how the other participants vote.
Markets are slumbering down for the next 10 days. Time to relax – if you can. It’s been an “interesting” year – and it’s going to remain that way going forward. Lots to worry about, but lots of opportunities to seek out!
Never hold a referendum unless you can be sure of the result. Musk has broken the Cameron rule, and leaves himself exposed and looking foolish. It may mean we’ve passed Peak Musk, and the bubble around his extraordinary assent has burst. And, as Nurses stage a second strike day, some thoughts from an NHS A&E department.
Christmas is coming, but plenty still to think about in terms of markets; from the lessons on Covid re-opening in China, what Tesla’s shareprice tells about the resurgence of common sense, and the prospects of 2 years of dither into the very necessary general election the UK needs to move forward!
Something different this morning – is the inflation threat really about to be corked back in its bottle? My head of research, Ernst Knacke thinks so.. so this morning I’m letting him argue the point on where inflation is headed and how to position for lower inflation next year!
I’ve no idea what might happen in 2023, but I don’t think its going to be as bad as some expect, but neither will it be as rewarding as others predict. Its likely to be another year of trading on what the mood is, what the numbers mean, and hoping to call it right. Hope, as they say, is only a strategy when you simply don’t know!
It was a disastrous weekend for UK energy strategy as the biting cold and lack of wind demonstrated the fallacy of wind as “the” renewable solution. Energy security requires predictable power. Meanwhile, Central Bank mull rate hikes and implications for dollar strength.
West Cumbria Mining has upset the Green Lobby, but it’s a triumph of pragmatism over virtue signalling. We should be more concerned at the implications of US Fund Vanguard pulling out of an asset management alliance focused on slashing emissions. However, the reality is the Global Economy is poised for growth driven by climate change mitigation and renewable energy!
