Don’t underestimate the effects of the natural cycle of the year on markets – the pressure to perform in the face of increasingly uncertain news flow is driven by a sense of opportunities and an awareness of time – which for 2023 are running short.
Nvidia and Telsa trade on hopes and expectations, FOMO and huge PE multiples. They are very different investment propositions but reflect the bubble market. Maybe it’s time to revert to dull, boring, predictable returns in fixed income secured by real assets?
Nvidia confirms the AI everything bubble! FOMO means everyone will play catch up! There is a growing divergence likely as inflation, growth and interest rates spells deep trouble for Europe and the ECB, while the USA recovers and the UK muddles through.
Jackson Hole, BRICS, Inflation, Bond Yields, the Dollar, AI and so many more things to worry about – but what does it really boil down to? Who will be trading with who, and what will be driving growth?
I’m polishing up my buying boots in anticipation of a fantastic buying window in the near future. All I need is the current everything bubble to burst under the deadweight of FOMO and unsustainable valuations! And things really ain’t looking so bad!
Lots of conflicting signals in markets, but what does it all mean? It largely boils down to inflation – to understand it we have to think beyond conventional economics and address the causes and reality, rather than punishing the economy!
Are current markets turning into a bad dream? There are so many reasons to be fearful, but giving into our terrors shows how driven by bias we are. A Hornet in the Bedroom Moment can make everything look bad. The reality is… probably not as bad as it looks!
Fitch threw a spanner into the works last night downgrading the US – but they were right to do so. Political risks in the US and UK – both are approaching peak electoral cycle crises points – are rising and the disinformation wars will ensure it gets… fruity.
