Gold has taken a bit of a tumble – but is the correction a buying opportunity? While the UK feels increasing glum ahead of the few choices in the November Budget, Elon Musk is confident on his demands for a $1 trillion upside bonus. They are illustrations of the contrast between hype, speculation and downside manipulation.
Every day we are reminded of injustice in the UK – the fight of postmasters against the Post Office, or haemophiliacs against the medical indifference are just the tip of an iceberg of a justice system loaded against the people. It’s only when it impacts directly do you realise just how lopsided UK planning has become. There is no social justice - just the jackboot of corporate greed being crushed into the face of humanity… forever.
Margaret Thatcher would have celebrated her 100th Birthday yesterday. She is widely considered the defining British politician of the post-war era. But it was a very different time, and we should not blind ourselves to the long-term consequences of Thatcherism. Decisions made over 35 years ago affect Britain today, and we exist in a very much less friendly and uncertain world.
The World shifted over the weekend. Trump’s 100% China Tariff threat was a snap reaction to the reality is China is now the key power in global trade, and holds most of the cards. There are significant risks ahead, not the least being the AI bubble popping – which would kill US sentiment as the whole stock market edifice will trumble.
Fascinating times we live in. Democracy is struggling. Nations are caught with crippling budgets, unpayable debt, and gridlocked political systems that mitigate against solutions. Don’t you hanker for the old days, when the king could just lop of some heads to make things happen? That’s one solution for the USA, according to some.
Labour declared war on Reform yesterday. Is it a battle they can win? Populism trounced the ill-prepared conventional Democrats in the USA last year. UK Gilts are relatively stable, showing markets are not particularly concerned – yet. Little is known of Reform’s non-immigration or Europe agenda. Can Labour regain the initiative?
If there is one thing we Brits are really, really good at its making things difficult for ourselves. We talk ourselves down and fall into doom and gloom, despite knowing for certain is the sun will come up tomorrow… “Things are never as bad as we fear, but seldom as good as we hope!”
King Charles played a blinder in Windsor last night, making Trump feel regal. But the reality is Europe and the UK have difficult decisions to make. Do they remain aligned with a post-hegemonic USA slipping into autocratic polarisation, or do they seek closer Asian connections, including China? There are massive Economic and Geopolitical risks ahead.
Huh! Some Nervous Nellies think the US stock market is rallying hard on thin air. Nonsense. What’s not to like about a big Fed Ease, a strong economy, and empowered companies! Nothing to worry about in terms of inflation or trade – ignore the doomsters trying to undermine confidence in the President and America. Buy, buy, and buy…
The amount of nonsense being written about the imminent collapse of the UK Gilts Market defies logic and experience. The numbers show demand for Gilts remains solid – but the growing, and often invented negativity over rising Lond-End yields threatens confidence in the UK’s bond market. Yield curves are steepening around the globe!











