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Monetary Theory

  • Equities, Global Growth, QE, Financial Assets, Inflation, Monetary Theory,
    March 26, 2024

    Stocks – Still Don’t Trust This Market

    Stocks are taking a breather this week after a succession of successive record highs. With the Fed now deep in QT, how can the market be rising when liquidity is supposed to be tighter, and underlying conditions tougher? Somethings just never make sense…

    read more
  • Central Banks, Political risk, Bitcoin, Commodities, Currency, Monetary Theory, Sovereign Debt,
    March 19, 2024

    The Naira, BitCoin and the Dollar – lessons?

    Nigeria is under attack by cryptocurrencies, says the Government. The Naira has collapsed as locals flee to Bitcoin and Tether – where “crypto-predators” are scamming them. Is this the future? Could it happen to the dollar market as the global economy de-dollarises, leaving a monetary vacuum? What will it mean for the mighty Treasury market?

    read more
  • Central Banks, UK Debt, Political risk, Bank of England, Politics, UK, Monetary Theory, Sovereign Debt, Government, Government Policy,
    February 9, 2024

    The UK needs more than fiscal discipline – Sir Keir needs a bigger plan.

    The multiple problems facing the UK will not be solved by Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party trying to be better Tories than the Tories. We don’t need better Tories. We need a better UK.  

    read more
  • UK Debt, Political risk, Covid, QE, European Sovereign Credit, Capitalism, stagflation, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Bonds, Inflation, Geopolitics, Monetary Theory, Government, Sovereign Debt, Government Policy, interest rates,
    January 30, 2024

    Government Spending, Austerity and Inflation.

    The nations of the West face crisis: how to fund vital infrastructure and critical defence spending without upsetting bond markets? They are worrying about the wrong things. Time to rethink government spending and how to do it.

    read more
  • Bitcoin, Alternative Investments, Retail Investors, Big Tech, Capitalism, Monetary Theory, Regulation,
    January 12, 2024

    Bitcoin: It’s a Cult and has zero utility, but it’s likely to rally nevertheless – Why?

    Bitcoin has zero fundamental utility. It is cult that was designed and loaded to make its’ “high priests” rich. To understand how it will trade, forget common sense – focus on what it is, who the players are and what is likely to motivate and influence the price. On that basis Buttcon may be a cynical buy – but be prepared to exit early.

    read more
  • Financial Crisis, Debt, Financial Assets, Bonds, Monetary Theory, Sovereign Debt,
    October 5, 2023

    Why the BBC is wrong about the UK’s Debt Cost, and DON’T PANIC about Bond Markets!

    The markets are panicking about bond yields. There is little to panic about. Higher rates will normalise the economy – but the commentariat loves to make a problem into a crisis. Y’day the BBC got it badly wrong, confusing the cost of new debt with debt service costs.  

    read more
  • Political risk, Bank of England, Politics, Currency, Debt, Financial Assets, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Monetary Theory, interest rates,
    August 1, 2023

    Don’t Worry About Sovereign Bonds…

    Everyone seems worried about the sustainability of Sovereign Bonds in terms of rising rates, interest burdens, debt quantum, and who will keep buying. Relax. Bonds have weathered worse. But there are ways to use Sovereign debt better.  

    read more
  • Central Banks, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Monetary Theory,
    April 24, 2023

    Don’t Underestimate Central Banks and the fallacy of Craft Gins…

    Markets are confused by rates, inflation and recession risks, wondering what central banks will do. The smart money gets it – Central Banks are on top of this, and have the fine controls to avoid crises becoming catastrophes. Meanwhile… why is my drinks cupboard full of craft gin?

    read more
  • ECB, Fed, Commodities, Financial Assets, Capitalism, stagflation, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Monetary Theory, Energy, interest rates,
    April 26, 2022

    Inflation, FAANGs and Airplanes – where the real world and finance collide!

    Markets are being whipsawed by rate hike threats from Central Banks, China lockdowns, the Ukraine war, while being stalked by inflation and stagflation. The big risk remains policy mistakes – trying to solve these with the wrong monetary and fiscal policies.

    read more
  • Bitcoin, Covid, Financial Assets, Economy, Inflation, Monetary Theory, USA, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    May 28, 2021

    What comes next as the US argues about how many Angels are needed to plug a dam?

    Nothing to worry about… except Pandemic, Bonds, Inflation or Deflation, Record Container Prices and Geopolitics? Is there any chance of compromise and a deal on the US infrastructure package everyone agrees is necessary – or will it sink into the partisan swamp? And Cathie Wood talks up her investment strategies – but what’s the substance behind the leading Zeitgeist Investor?

    read more
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  • Gold
  • Government
  • Industry
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  • Property
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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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