Markets have a habit of getting over-excited. They get FOMO and become over hasty. Although the outlook is improving, there is certainly little to justify some of the more speculative hype dominating market moves. Time a bit of rational thinking and common sense – consider Tesla as an example of misplaced hopes.
Never hold a referendum unless you can be sure of the result. Musk has broken the Cameron rule, and leaves himself exposed and looking foolish. It may mean we’ve passed Peak Musk, and the bubble around his extraordinary assent has burst. And, as Nurses stage a second strike day, some thoughts from an NHS A&E department.
Despite US inflation hitting a 40 year high, US growth stocks rallied – reflecting the belief inflation and recession will be short and sharp. It’s a fair bet – but go back into growth stocks eyes-wide-open, and don’t be fooled by the most dangerous myth surrounding Tech – Personalities!
Would a Tesla survive a Kamikaze Pigeon attack? Tesla remains the tech stock that’s defying the ongoing valuations reality. Why? Because Musk still controls the narrative – and that may be about to change.
Did you feel the Earth shake and judder? When dull, boring, predictable retail giants crash 25% intra-day, time to take notice. Boom/Bust is back – and this time its serious. Anyone for the last few choc-ice?
Markets look distinctly soft, and vulnerable to further downside pressure. The gaps between value, hype and narrative are becoming clearer – spelling opportunity, but also raising the risk of a crash.
What nefarious plan does Musk have in mind for Twitter? How does it relate to his empire of cars, tunnels, satellites, rockets and neural-links? How real is it and how much is hype. What is Musk playing at? Your guess is as good as mine.
Markets and Politicians share many common traits – they over enthuse on the upside and fail to grasp hidden costs and dangers. The Morning Porridge is resolutely in favour of climate change mitigation, but the current headlong plunge into renewable energies and lithium batteries has the potential to end up an environmental and market disaster.
Some investment banks are picking up cheap Russian assets – which negates the purpose and aims of sanctions, and will simply fuel Putin’s propaganda machine. Meanwhile, Blain’s stupidity index is only down 38% - which shows there are still greater fools out there…
A bounce back rally is underway – but its reactive, based on the hopes of “buy-the-dippers”, and the fundamentals haven’t changed. Many weakening Tech stocks are seeing their foundations exposed as built on sand.