Andy Burnham promises the UK a national reboot. Critical to his success will be his choice of chancellor, and the relationship with the financial markets. Rachel Reeves is closely associated with the failed Starmer premiership – but she knows how to do the job and has credibility with the markets. With new leadership she could prove a much better choice than other contenders.

Damn the torpedoes! Full steam ahead. The recent 10-year Gilt auction was a screaming success. There is plenty of demand at the right yield – 5% for 10 years! The cost of servicing debt is high, but to create growth the government needs to fix the economy by borrowing more. Global investors know that when assessing the UK’s yield premium. The UK would do better to borrow more rather than less!

Yesterday saw bad political theatre in the UK. Rachel Reeves got up and warned everyone it’s going to be bad and therefore made it so. Acres of negative coverage and lots for the opposition to make noise about. But the reality is maybe very different. There is not that much [more than usual] to worry about.

Gold has taken a bit of a tumble – but is the correction a buying opportunity? While the UK feels increasing glum ahead of the few choices in the November Budget, Elon Musk is confident on his demands for a $1 trillion upside bonus. They are illustrations of the contrast between hype, speculation and downside manipulation.

The amount of nonsense being written about the imminent collapse of the UK Gilts Market defies logic and experience. The numbers show demand for Gilts remains solid – but the growing, and often invented negativity over rising Lond-End yields threatens confidence in the UK’s bond market. Yield curves are steepening around the globe!  

The scale of the UK’s funding crisis is becoming increasingly apparent. It can be fixed – but needs political sacrifice. “Changing Policy” and backing off promises has costs and consequences. The UK is not in dire peril - it remains a fine, innovative and strong economy, but we need to get real on spending and how its funded.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves should be angry, not tearful. The multiple crises facing the UK’s funding have been long-term in creation. Reeves has the opportunity to fix them. The recipe is simple; common sense, political discipline, a dash for growth and a spicing of Gilts Liability Management. C’mon Rachel… you can do it.

Never has the contrast in economic outlook and market expectations been so divided on either side of the pond. In Washington, joy as Trump’s tax cuts are enacted. In London, unremitting gloom and despair. But, hey-ho, Labour is going to fix the NHS! Give me strength….

Yesterday the Gilts market suffered a judder moment – but it was political theatre. The gilts market is fundamentally in good shape, well run, and a 3.5 times oversubscribed Gilts auction highlights it’s not under Bond Vigilante pressure. The UK is not about to default, beg an IMF bailout – no matter what Liz Truss apologists would like to believe.

Today’s UK Spending Review is Chancellor Rachel Reeves opportunity to overcome the largely unwarranted negativity around her, and seize control of the narrative to demonstrate financial, economic and political competency – vital to keeping the bond market open and receptive.