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EU

  • European Sovereign Credit, Political risk, EU, Politics, UK, Capitalism, Economy, Democracy, Government,
    June 10, 2024

    The Rise of the Right and Where Do We Head From Here?

    Its little surprise to learn how well the Right has done across EU Elections. The UK will vote for the centre, but it’s likely the right will coalesce into a single stronger Right-Wing party post-election. What does it all mean for markets?

    read more
  • Geopolitics, EU, Politics, UK, Capitalism, Democracy, China, Government, USA, Russia,
    June 6, 2024

    D-Day – what does it mean for the West?

    The best way to honour them is to ensure we never have to do it again.

    read more
  • Central Banks, Political risk, EU, Global Growth, UK, stagflation, Geopolitics, Inflation, China, Sovereign Debt, USA,
    May 20, 2024

    Markets Party On, despite growing real economy threats.

    Markets act like rate cuts are already done. Froth rules. The reality is a mis-aligned global economy struggling with multiple consequences from the last 15 years. The real economy is about supply, and China is critical to that argument.

    read more
  • ECB, EU, Ukraine, Politics, European Sovereign Credit, UK, Europe, Geopolitics, USA,
    March 4, 2024

    European Defence – Just how difficult can it be?

    Europe will face massive difficulties rejigging NATO for a post US era. It will be vulnerable to Russian disinformation while facing acute production, labour and cooperation instabilities. But if it could be done…..

    read more
  • Central Banks, Political risk, EU, Politics, ECB, Currency, Debt, European Sovereign Credit, Government,
    January 26, 2024

    The ECB needs a political leader like Lagarde.

    Christine Lagarde is under attack from within The ECB from staff who say they mistrust her. They clearly don’t understand their jobs or her role. Lagarde is a politician leading a political central bank. She has already achieved many of her goals. Generals don’t need to be popular – they need to be effective.

    read more
  • EU, Brexit, UK, Economy, Europe, Democracy, Government,
    November 15, 2023

    A Tale of Two Cities: A New Hope with Europe? 

    Athens and London? The power of positive politics is very evident in Greece. Curiously, the surprise appointment of David Cameron as UK Foreign Secretary might just hint at a positive outcome for the UK if it triggers a proper discussion on Brexit failure and our relationship with Europe.

    read more
  • EU, ECB, Ukraine, Europe, Geopolitics, Russia,
    February 28, 2022

    Europe Grows a Pair? Bet the Russians never expected that!

    The risks in Ukraine are escalating as Russia shows the nuclear card – but markets are behaving as if its Russia has been backfooted as the West finally wakes-up to the threat. Russia might have miscalculated some aspects of its strategy, but it would be wrong to think much has changed – yet!

    read more
  • EU, ECB, Germany, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 30, 2021

    A New Germany – will it change much?

    The new Germany looks almost exciting! What will a post-Merkel Germany look like? Will green and business interests align under the new fraffic-light government? How will the relationship with Brussels and the ECB shape up? “Interesting” times ahead.

    read more
  • EU, ECB, European Sovereign Credit, Europe, France, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    July 6, 2021

    Stock Market Dips and The ECB’s Power Play

    Global Stock markets seem to be living the dream, but under the surface there are serious concerns. In Yoorp the ECB makes its power play this week to confirm its place within the political trinity of States, EU and ECB by effectively handing itself control of the fiscal and industrial policy levers that could power up Europe. No one tell the Germans…

    read more
  • EU, Climate Change, ESG, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    March 24, 2021

    Holier than thou ESG?

    Demand for the EU’s Social Bond deal was strong as ESG funds scramble to find qualifying assets, but just how much ESG is enough? Has ESG got overly Woke?

    read more
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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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