The nomination of Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair has been rationalised as positive for stability and managing Trump. But will a new name on the desk means certainty will return? Nothing really changed within the Administration – Trump remains Trump and has a massive War Chest to fight the coming bitter Midterms.
This morning’s meeting in Busan, Korea was short and sweet. Goal achieved - the global meltdown that would have followed a rare-earth embargo by China has been avoided. What is more interesting is how it could change the current power set-up in Washington as Scott Bessent and Marco Rubio increasingly take centre stage.
It is possible to cram Cataclysm, Armageddon and Apocalypse into a single Morning Porridge at the start of a week that promises to be market friendly? Of course it is! There is plenty of stuff to worry about, but when the noise sounds so positive, the herd that is the market will keep on fooling themselves.. The higher they climb, the further there is to fall…
While Trump fumes at Jay Powell for not slashing rates, Scott Bessent is the adult-in-the-room minding the Fed isn’t too battered by the President’s harangues. No doubt they chat about the structure of the market and the rising risks to it – including stablecoins.
Trump blinked. 42 days after “Liberation Day” China gets a 10% base tariff level, putting it on better trade terms than the EU? It was a ramble of conflicting narratives, but the reality is the US may just have averted a catastrophic trade induced crash – it will likely still experience a stagflationary shock.
Scott Bessent shocked the World Bank gathering this week with his rambling demands for fealty to an American led financial system. But what was really asking for? A time machine to take America back to the 1950s?
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has the most difficult job in the world. How do you explain to a cabinet of financial imbeciles the USA is on course for a stock market crash, recession, inflation and a possible collapse in the US Treasury Market? It’s high risk - Trump is a “shoot-the-messenger” kind of guy.
As the clock ticks down to the US Coronation, markets are aligning for Donald Trump: a sustainable Treasury market, a strong dollar and Trump’s Treasury pick, Scott Bessent set to demonstrate competency at his senate hearing. What could possibly go wrong?
Scott Bessent’s nomination as US Treasury Secretary has been welcomed by markets. The expectation is he will use Trump’s rhetoric to negotiate more optimal outcomes. However, the World is changing – not just in terms of China and other nations emerging as challengers in a new global economy, but also in terms of how Trump could reset America domestically.










