About Bill Blain

ill Blain is a published author on financial markets, contributor and editor of the Morning Porridge. He is a well-known market commentor, and a practicing investment banker in the alternative private debt and equity sector. His day job combines his role as Strategist for Shard Capital, the leading investment management firm, and heading the firm’s Alternatives Group – financing Private debt and equity deals, and direct lending transactions. His clients include sovereign wealth funds, hedge funds, insurance and pension managers, credit funds and family offices.

Opportunities are all about confidence, so what fears will a record Gold Price trigger?

Don’t assume inflation is licked, don’t assume interest rates will stop rising, don’t assume there aren’t further bank failures to come, don’t assume politics and society will cope well, but don’t assume it’s all end of the world. In periods of financial uncertainty there is opportunity…

Opportunities are all about confidence, so what fears will a record Gold Price trigger?2023-11-01T15:29:18+00:00

Blame the Experts – that’s what usually happens when finance goes wrong!

As Janet Yellen warns of default risk, and Jay Powell hikes rates, the risks to the global economy are mounting: a deflationary bust, or stagflation? Market confidence in the face of a deepening credit crunch is falling.

Blame the Experts – that’s what usually happens when finance goes wrong!2023-11-01T15:29:18+00:00

Microsoft has a hissy fit, but Big Tech ain’t nothing new or innovative any more.

Microsoft would rather do business in Europe than the UK when it comes to global gaming. Name me a famous European game? BIG TECH is turning stale. Bring on the next new, new thing.

Microsoft has a hissy fit, but Big Tech ain’t nothing new or innovative any more.2023-11-01T15:29:18+00:00

Bad Banks, Bad Management, Twitter and Blain’s Rules on Bank Investment.  

First Republic’s numbers show how close it came to failure – it’s a saga of stale management and bad banking, but reinforced by the pace of rumour and sigh on social media. Will it happen again? Blain’s Rules on Bank Investment may help you avoid the bad’uns..

Bad Banks, Bad Management, Twitter and Blain’s Rules on Bank Investment.  2023-11-01T15:29:18+00:00

Don’t Underestimate Central Banks and the fallacy of Craft Gins…

Markets are confused by rates, inflation and recession risks, wondering what central banks will do. The smart money gets it – Central Banks are on top of this, and have the fine controls to avoid crises becoming catastrophes. Meanwhile… why is my drinks cupboard full of craft gin?

Don’t Underestimate Central Banks and the fallacy of Craft Gins…2023-11-01T15:29:19+00:00

Fail Fast – Tesla and SpaceX are extraordinary, but does Musk have the Bandwith to solve all his problems?

The SpaceX Starship will be a wonderous thing, and Tesla is a great car company, but does Elon Musk have the time to keep them on track while trying to figure out what to do with his Twitter unwanted stepchild? He’ll come up with something nifty, like X Corp, to fuddle it through..

Fail Fast – Tesla and SpaceX are extraordinary, but does Musk have the Bandwith to solve all his problems?2023-11-01T15:29:19+00:00

Business Cycles, Markets, Inequality and Social Threat

Markets are thriving, but the news tone is miserable.. how does that happen? Markets aren’t pricing in a rising tide of political friction, plus rising inequality of wealth and opportunity – but these things ultimately matter.

Business Cycles, Markets, Inequality and Social Threat2023-11-01T15:29:19+00:00

Fox News Nil, Truth and Honesty $787 million.

The primacy of truth, honesty and distinguishing the difference between a lie presented as irrefutable truth, and politically inspired balderdash was restablished last night. It matters.. And will cost Fox News and Rupert Murdoch more than just the $787 million settlement. It might just save democracy.

Fox News Nil, Truth and Honesty $787 million.2023-11-01T15:29:19+00:00

China vs the USA – Does it have to be war?

China will remain the driver of global growth as the West continues to slide. The economy is reopening swiftly, raising increased fears of de-dollarisation. It’s easy to get emotional, but the reality is its happening, get used to it, and figure out the outcomes. They may surprise you..

China vs the USA – Does it have to be war?2023-11-01T15:29:19+00:00
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