About Bill Blain

ill Blain is a published author on financial markets, contributor and editor of the Morning Porridge. He is a well-known market commentor, and a practicing investment banker in the alternative private debt and equity sector. His day job combines his role as Strategist for Shard Capital, the leading investment management firm, and heading the firm’s Alternatives Group – financing Private debt and equity deals, and direct lending transactions. His clients include sovereign wealth funds, hedge funds, insurance and pension managers, credit funds and family offices.

The UK Economy – Austerity or time for a Reset?

The New UK Sunak Government had steadied markets, but in coming weeks it will become increasingly clear the fractured Tories are trapped in no-Growth Austerity. Can they escape, or is it time for a Political Reset?

The UK Economy – Austerity or time for a Reset?2023-11-01T15:29:22+00:00

Sunak as PM? Is it the buy sterling moment, and the beginning of something better?

Today we likely get a new PM. The opportunity for Rishi Sunak is challenging, but he may get markets on side and start the recovery process for the deeply dysfunctional and divided Conservative Party. He probably still loses by 2024 – but political stability may be back on the agenda.

Sunak as PM? Is it the buy sterling moment, and the beginning of something better?2023-11-01T15:29:22+00:00

What does the Metaverse hold in terms of Known Losers and Unknown Winners?

Many firms are heavily invested into the “Metaverse” seeking to monetise it. Their expectations are based on very conventional understandings of what the Metaverse could offer as a “venue”. Yet we really have few clues about its real potential, and how it may evolve in completely different directions spawning completely new forms of m-commerce..

What does the Metaverse hold in terms of Known Losers and Unknown Winners?2023-11-01T15:29:22+00:00

There is a Canker in Britain that has seized the minds of Government. Time to remove it.

Something is rotten in the state… A deep rooted canker underlies the current crisis. Removing it will give the UK a real chance at some kind of Brexit Bonus, Growth and Prosperity. But we have to change, and change utterly.

There is a Canker in Britain that has seized the minds of Government. Time to remove it.2023-11-01T15:29:22+00:00

In Bonds There Is Truth, But Don’t Expect Central Banks to Pivot Early

In Bonds There is Truth – but until Real bond yields turn positive they remain financially repressive. If Central Banks “pivot” from tightening rates to address inflation too early, markets will remain fundamentally distorted.

In Bonds There Is Truth, But Don’t Expect Central Banks to Pivot Early2023-11-01T15:29:22+00:00

Leverage, Liquidity and Volatility – the three pale riders of value destruction

“Leverage, Liquidity and Volatility upturn markets, triggered by policy mistakes, ignorance, hubris or plain getting it wrong. These are dangerous times as multiple issues threaten confusion – so some simple market mantras might help!”

Leverage, Liquidity and Volatility – the three pale riders of value destruction2023-11-01T15:29:22+00:00

The UK: Out the Unfunded Spending Fire and into the Austerity Frying Pan

If you thought Unfunded Spending was a bad idea, don’t be fooled Austerity is going to be any more successful. It’s Anti-growth, regressive and will push the UK into deep recession, but about the only policy option left open to the discredited Tories.

The UK: Out the Unfunded Spending Fire and into the Austerity Frying Pan2023-11-01T15:29:22+00:00

What comes next? Markets are mean reverting, are you prepared?

Well, that was a fun week… but the UK’s travails are the tip of the iceberg of market pain facing the global economy. More political, geopolitical, liquidity and leverage driven crises are coming as markets reverse out the QE era. Don’t Panic!

What comes next? Markets are mean reverting, are you prepared?2023-11-01T15:29:22+00:00
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