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US Treasury Market

  • USA, Trump, Bonds,
    June 10, 2025

    While America Burns, Watch the Bond Market

    Trump has deliberately escalated domestic protests in California into a test of National Will by federalising the Marines. What will it mean for markets? Global Investors will become become increasingly concerned at how distracted Trump is as the Bond Market looks increasingly unsustainable.

    read more
  • Trade, US dollar, Trump, Central Banks, Financial Crisis, Fed, Debt, stagflation, USA,
    April 9, 2025

    Trump Shuts the Door on China, Global Trade and Common Sense

    Global Trade is enormously complex. Trump has put 104% tariffs on China – which will directly impact US consumers. Shutting the door on global trade will inevitably trigger consequences. The biggest risk is to the bond market – and a stressed Treasury market when the US has $15 trillion to refinance in next 20 months is a really, really bad idea.

    read more
  • Central Banks, Political risk, Bitcoin, Commodities, Currency, Monetary Theory, Sovereign Debt,
    March 19, 2024

    The Naira, BitCoin and the Dollar – lessons?

    Nigeria is under attack by cryptocurrencies, says the Government. The Naira has collapsed as locals flee to Bitcoin and Tether – where “crypto-predators” are scamming them. Is this the future? Could it happen to the dollar market as the global economy de-dollarises, leaving a monetary vacuum? What will it mean for the mighty Treasury market?

    read more
  • Central Banks, Commercial Real Estate, Financial Crisis, Banks, Political risk, Global Growth, Inflation, Sovereign Debt, USA, Property,
    February 13, 2024

    Commercial Property and US Bond Yields – these are things to fret around.

    Two things worry me: the consequences of a Commercial Property bust, and the potential of a US$ Bond Crash. Equities merely reflect dimly their relative value to real assets and rates – and will suffer accordingly. Not to worry though.. the IMF says no recession!

    read more

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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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