The AI sector looks likely to be the biggest bubble in market history – until the next one. When it pops – and it surely will – the effects will resonate round markets. Like all good Snake Oil scams, AI has promised everything and claims divinity. Too many folk have embraced the hype and hopes of easy money – but that has always been the way of markets.
So much to worry about. Stop. Why bother? What’s not to like about short-term markets. Nvidia is selling more and more and more chips, SpaceX half-circumnavigated the planet, and US Treasuries care not a jot about Fed Independence. Give me another puff of whatever these guys are smoking!
Three risks for markets to fathom this morning: What Tesla the Meme-stock means for the Mag7, how AI risks are multiplying, and what doing a course on AI revealed about its’ true purpose.
The Americans have passed rules to regulate and define the crypto industry. The first rule of finance is all rules are arbitraged. The second is that regulation strengthens incumbents. Very, very different to what Nakamoto and the original crypto acolytes envisaged for free, decentralised finance! Ha Ha Ha!
The AI revolution is exceedingly expensive. It’s become a matter of who can chuck the most amount of money at it. But that’s forgetting it’s still evolving and there is little to stop it moving in new directions.
Plus, The Morning Porridge experiments with AI generated graphs!
StableCoins? I am told they are revolutionising finance. Really? Stablecoins and other tokens will replace money, stock, shares and everything else… apparently. But can someone explain, simply, in plain English, how, what, and why they are better than what already exists?
Markets and the global economy are subject to how the world is changing – get used to it. Trump is not the cause – he just one symptom of how geopolitics, politics and technology are all undergoing periodic change.
What will the American mega-stocks be worth tomorrow? What will they be worth when Asian markets are larger, more competitive and more open, and Europe is closed to them? The Age of Trump has catalysed the end of the Age of American Exceptionalism. Apple and Telsa provide scenarios on how it all may come about.
Sir Keir Starmer has jumped aboard the populist bandwagon, pandering to voters convinced immigration is the UK’s greatest challenge and threat. Silly me… I thought it was the Russians, or jobs, or the economy. The reality is aging nations need workers.
Content with his supposed win in the Tariff Wars, now Trump is rooting out internal dissent – Harvard being top of his list of target institutions. What next? US Risks are rising and are still not fully reflected in stock or bond prices. Peak Trump is a long way down the road – till then things may get worse.










