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Normalisation

  • Sovereign Debt, capital markets, Political risk, Debt, Capitalism, Economy, Bonds, USA,
    August 20, 2026

    Should we be worrying about bonds? Or worrying about everything else…

    With US debt about the breach $40 trillion, Scotty Bessent intervened to stem rising long-end yields. The market loved it, but the reality is that distorting interest rates has all kinds of consequences. That includes the risk an economy focused entirely on financial returns isn’t spotting or addressing real world threats to jobs, growth, conflict, the environment and climate. Maybe it’s time to let rates normalise?

    read more
  • Central Banks, Global Growth, Debt, Financial Assets, corporate debt, Capitalism, Economy, interest rates,
    January 20, 2023

    Forget inflation – its interest rates that will set markets and drive new growth.

    Around the globe everyone thinks inflation is beaten. It may well be, but the consequences will persist. Interest rates may not “pivot” the way market optimists hope, with profound implications for equities and bonds. We are into a new market cycle of normalised rates and corporate fundamentals. All-in-all, that’s a good thing for growth!

    read more

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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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