Good is bad, and bad is good as Kwasi Kwarteng wins the Financial Idiot of the Year award as the IMF warns about the consequences and dangers of $80 trillion of hidden swap debt and rising global debt levels. Should we worry? Probably.
Budget U-Turns and a P45 should take the edge of the UK’s Financial Woes for a few days, but the big question is what comes next, and who should iterate the New New Conservative Thang. It looks like we have Adults Back in the Room!
The headlines could not be bleaker in terms of open political plots within Government and The Bank of England undermined internally and externally. This is how nations fall – this is not what the UK deserves.
The UK is not bust or broke. Smart investors are actively looking for bargains in the wake of the Trusster**ck. Its time for change to monetise the value of the UK for the UK!.
The Bank of England averted a run on the UK’s investment institutions yesterday. Chancellor Kwarteng is unlikely to thank them for their calm competency and credibility. The Bank’s intervention has triggered a global rally as the market now expects more central bank support.
The UK confidence crisis is not over yet. Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng is saying nothing, hoping for stability. The Bank of England finds itself providing top cover by its willingness to hike rates. The Treasury Select Committee should be asking what advice the OBR, Treasury, The Bank of England and the Gilts Office gave Kwarteng.
What a mess. Kwasi Kwarteng’s Special Fiscal Operation failed to stabilise UK markets and has zero prospect of driving growth. The new government stumbled at the first jump. How bad will it get? What are the implications? Who is next for the Chancellor’s job?
The new Truss/Kwarteng grand plan to create a UK High Growth High Wage economy boils down to trickle-down economics, which simply don’t work. They won’t restore the economy, but they may, perversely, boost markets.
As London grieves we’re not paying much attention to politics and markets – but we should. The outlook is deteriorating. Confidence is declining and will likely get worse if the new government’s lack of awareness and sensitivity continues.
The new UK Premier has 5 days – tops – to establish her new government and put in place the strategies and policies to restore confidence in the UK economy. If not, the Virtuous Sovereign Trinity will fracture. It needs sound communication and clear grasp of the problems behind the crisis. Truss hasn’t demonstrated either – yet.