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Andrew Bailey

  • Financial Services, Bank Capital, Bank of England, UK Debt, Pensions, Politics, Capitalism, Economy,
    November 15, 2024

    Mansion House, Brexit Unwind, Financial Deregulation and Megafunds.

    Oh, to be a fly on the wall while they wrote the speeches for last night’s Mansion House dinner. The Bank’s Bailey railed against Brexit, while Chancellor Reeves plans to deregulate financial services and refocus UK investment through new Megafunds. What could possibly go wrong?

    read more
  • Bonds, Bank of England, UK, Inflation, Government,
    May 25, 2023

    UK Inflation is Sticky… Wow! Try telling that to the Bank of England. Why?

    Yesterday’s UK inflation numbers hint the Bank doesn’t understand the modern drivers of inflation or how to address them. It leaves some stark likely outcomes: stagflation or a Reflationary Death Scramble. Neither are good.

    read more
  • Bank of England, Financial Crisis, Ukraine, Capitalism, Russia,
    May 18, 2023

    Bank of England confirms sticky inflation and reflation, and the big lesson from the Ukraine war.

    Two parts this morning: What the Bank of England actually said, and The Big Lesson from the Ukraine War is simple: “Things are seldom as bad as we fear, but never as good as we hope.” Global geopolitics and markets have taken a knock, but will coalesce around whatever new global links emerge.

    read more
  • Bank of England, UK, Economy, Government,
    October 13, 2022

    Part 1 – UK Riven by Internal Dissent! How Close to Dysfuntional is it?

    The headlines could not be bleaker in terms of open political plots within Government and The Bank of England undermined internally and externally. This is how nations fall – this is not what the UK deserves.

    read more
  • Bank of England, Politics, Fed, UK, Inflation, USA,
    August 11, 2022

    Ding Dong, Inflation is dead… but probably isn’t so don’t get your hopes up yet…

    The pace of US CPI inflation moderated slightly, but it’s too early for the market to conclude rate hikes are over. There are many imbalances still to resolve – especially in consumer credit. Meanwhile, the new UK premier’s clumsy attempts to blame the BOE raise questions.

    read more

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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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