Is inflation dead or just resting? Are rates likely to remain higher for longer, or are we poised on the edge of a bond bull market? Everyone is watching energy and tensions around the Middle East. I suggest we worry about wages as well.
The Bank and The Fed have served notice they will remain vigilant – higher for longer! Markets would be wrong to expect early easing. Wage Inflation and Energy remain very real threats over the medium term – it may trigger volatility as markets understand the new reality.