The fear of what might follow The Labour Government haunts the Gilts Market. Relief may come from the political implosion of Nigel Farage. Grubby Sleaze surrounds him as the UK’s much-loved Man of the People morphs into a discount-priced Mini-me version of Trump. The Crypto and graft entanglements that envelop him have shattered what made him so successful. Farage is no longer one of us. He is Them.
Catharsis is a marvellous thing. Reform and the Tories will duke it out for the British right, leaving Labour to get on with ever-so-slowly trying to fix Broken Britain – which could be evident by 2029. A great political battle is in prospect. Bring it on!
The assassination of Charlie Kirk in the USA is a stark warning of rabid political polarisation. Here in the UK the marginalisation of the Tories, and Labour’s caution, has opened the door for Nigel Farage’s new populist Reform Party. How are markets likely to price a Reform Win in the run-up to the next UK election in 2029? To win without destabilising markets, Farage has much to do to establish its’ political credentials, competency and policy – and show that he has evolved.
The UK’s Labour Government should be the most politically stable in the Western World, but its stumbling from mistake to mistake because it doesn’t understand the real opposition. Rachel Reeves’ next banana skin are PCP claims where she is favouring Big Banks over Voters, demonstrating little awareness of the electorate or the business of finance.
Events of the last few weeks highlight a new instability for markets. The Rise of the Right has implications in terms of investment priorities, law and markets, bonds and currencies, multiple consequences and the future outlook for economies.






