Is a financial crisis coming our way? US Debt, Inflation, Trade, Energy, AI concerns and the rest pushed the revealed wisdom of new Fed Head Kevin Warsh out the limelight last week. Bond yields continue to rise. There are now growing fears of slowdown, or worse. Cheer up! Not the end of the World. But if a financial crisis is coming it will reflect lessons from the past on liquidity, but to solve it we also must acknowledge how much the world has changed since the last one in 2008. This time it will be different!

Barclays has been fined £40mm for being “Reckless” in its dodgy 2008 capital funding programme. The judgement hides a multitude of sins and failures, especially in terms of probity and governance. It’s another chapter and illustration of how greed and avarice sank the once world-class UK financial industry over the last 40 years.   

I’m polishing up my buying boots in anticipation of a fantastic buying window in the near future. All I need is the current everything bubble to burst under the deadweight of FOMO and unsustainable valuations! And things really ain’t looking so bad!

What Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.