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Economic consequences

  • Climate Change, Defence, Political risk, sustainability, UK, Capitalism, Democracy,
    August 10, 2026

    Climate Change – The Conflict we may never win.

    2026 looks likely to be the warmest year ever. Oceans are charged with energy to drive ever larger storm systems. Wildfires and droughts are ravaging the land. What if this is only the beginning? What if the climate is about to stage a chaotic breakout? Just how resilient will humanity be to a war with an implacable enemy that will give no quarter? What might it mean for the economy?

    read more
  • Conflict, Defence, US dollar, Political risk, Oil, Gas, Debt, stagflation, Geopolitics, Sovereign Debt,
    March 27, 2026

    The Economic Implications of the Iran War

    The cost of Trump’s War on Iran is extraordinary - $1 bln a day plus. War Stocks are being consumed at incredible speed. A request for an additional $200 bln of funding is in the works. The nature of war has changed – it could prove phenomenally destructive, expensive and ruinous to winners and losers alike. Meanwhile the economic outcomes of the war remain in the balance.

    read more

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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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