The markets are on a tear convinced normalisation is around the next corner. Yet they ignore the reality the Iran war has done significant damage to the global outlook – even if Tehran and Washington kiss and make up tomorrow. I don’t claim to understand the madness of markets and their ability to keep fooling themselves, but I do follow economic history and how events change outcomes.
Nvidia is a proxy for the global economy – said an idiot analyst. AI is terribly important because C-Suites think it is. The reality is AI will be messy, expensive and costly to implement. We’ll quickly discover it overpromised and underdelivers. Back to fundamentals.




