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Pre 2021 Porridge

  • Climate Change, Central Banks, Debt, Bonds, Energy, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    December 1, 2021

    Market Judders As a Bleak Winter Begins

    Did you feel markets judder when Powell spoke? The mood has changed as markets wake up to the danger Central Banks might just start doing their jobs. As Winter begins, Europe faces a bleak energy crisis of its own making. My solution? Buy a generator!

    read more
  • EU, ECB, Germany, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 30, 2021

    A New Germany – will it change much?

    The new Germany looks almost exciting! What will a post-Merkel Germany look like? Will green and business interests align under the new fraffic-light government? How will the relationship with Brussels and the ECB shape up? “Interesting” times ahead.

    read more
  • Covid, Markets, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 29, 2021

    Omicron Hits Markets, and Spells Opportunity!

    The Omicron Variant dominates the headlines, but will likely prove a short-term market factor. No doubt a renewed round of panicked responses, lockdowns, travel bans and Christmas threats will occur, but markets should take these in their stride – the biggest risk is margin calls triggering something deeper.

    read more
  • Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Regulation, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 25, 2021

    The Easy Way to get Rich… Isn’t.

    Crypto currencies have confused the way we think about money and wealth. Its deliberate. It helps layer the crypto narrative they are modern and somehow better than fiat money. It’s fake news. Crypto is full of inconsistencies and outright bullsh*t – it’s time regulators did their jobs!

    read more
  • Alternative Investments, Central Banks, Inflation, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 23, 2021

    The Central Bank Quandary: Inflation vs Recovery

    Jay Powell keeps his job and faces the inflation quandary – hiking rates too soon risks recovery, but inflation needs addressed. The likelihood is lower rates for longer – which will juice euphoric markets further. What’s the alternative? Stop buying financial assets and buy the real economy!

    read more
  • Central Banks, Financial Assets, Market Crash, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 22, 2021

    Guessing it won’t be as good as we hope, nor as bad as we fear…

    Markets are roiled by lockdowns and approaching holidays. Already the guessing season has begun – with predictions running all the way from Gloomy to Dire. Central Banks will be anxious to be seen to be doing the right thing – which probably means more of the same. And investors? Delusional or exploiting the delusion of others.  

    read more
  • Financial Crisis, Bitcoin, Markets, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 19, 2021

    Caught in a Trap…

    How much longer can the market madness continue? Traditionally they remain irrational for longer than you can stay solvent. Central banks must be terrified – damned if they act, damned if they don’t. The basis of markets is under threat from unbridled speculation fuelled by their actions.

    read more
  • Boeing, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 17, 2021

    Boeing? Worst company on the Planet?

    A new book on the fall of Boeing is getting the headlines this morning. I’ve been arguing it illustrates all the worst excess of capitalism – yet how many investors have called it out? Very few. Why does ESG apparently not apply to Boeing?

    read more
  • Metaverse, Facebook, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 16, 2021

    The Metaverse – much, much bigger than Facebook

    Facebook is now Meta, and Meta wants to own the Metaverse. Just what is the Metaverse, what are the opportunities, and can Mark Zuckerberg repeat the success of Facebook by monetising a whole new way of doing business, or is it shaping up to be something much, much more?

    read more
  • Central Banks, Markets, Inflation, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    November 15, 2021

    Let’s Dance: Buy the credentials – Forget Reality, Baitballs and Financial Ergot!

    Despite Global uncertainty, rising inflation, and potential slowdown, markets remain Euphoric. All irrational markets eventually pop. How much longer can the current market mood be sustained? Longer than we think…

    read more
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  • Pre 2021 Porridge

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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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