Tag Mean Reversion

Blain’s Morning Porridge Capitalism central banks Equities Stocks

The Stock Market Rout Has Only Just Begun.

Harry Hindsight is the greatest trader who ever lived. He saw the July/August rally was just a bear trap. But, he’s not revealing his thoughts on how much further the market has to correct. Some analysts see mean reversion all the way back to 2008 levels!

David Murrin, Harry Hindsight, Mean Reversion, Stock Markets
Bill Blain
September 1, 2022
8

Blain’s Morning Porridge Bitcoin Bonds central banks corporate debt distortion European Sovereign Credit Financial Assets Market Crash Political risk

The Laws of Mean Reversion have begun their Summer Offensive

We’re officially in a bear market, but markets are still massively overvalued. The laws of Mean Reversion are immutable – some stocks are going lower. Inflation, Bond Markets and Confidence are all flashing danger signals.

Financial Assets, Market Correction, Mean Reversion, Stocks and Bonds
Bill Blain
June 14, 2022
5

Gold, Always Believe in Gold!
December 4, 2023
Gold has hit new record dollar levels – reflecting not just current uncertainty, but also the de-dollarisation narrative and it’s attractions as an inflation and market hedge, and long-term value. It’s worth keeping an eye on.Read More »
COP 28 May Put Saving The Planet Back on Track
December 1, 2023
Farewell Alastair Darling and Shane MacGowan. COP 28 has been getting pushback from activists upset big-business is attending. That’s possibly the best thing for the planet if the commercial sector embraces the challenges and opportunities raised by climate change!Read More »
Interest Rate Scenarios: Stick with the Normalisation Cure, or another Puff of QE Skunk?
November 30, 2023
Expectations of early interest rate cuts are high, especially as recession signals are set to rise through Q1 2024. Will Central Banks stay the course and normalise interest rates, or will be take the easy option of further low interest rate distortion?Read More »
Some of Charlie Munger’s Genius Investment Quotes – And why bonds won’t get much better!
November 29, 2023
Charlie Munger has left us a deep well of investment advice – pithy quotes we can all learn from. Pay attention and remain deeply, deeply sceptical. Meanwhile, the fact bond rates are falling does not mean the global economy is fixed. It means trouble ahead.Read More »
Flying the Atlantic on Unicorn Poop!
November 28, 2023
Virgin founder Sir Richard Branson is set to cross the Atlantic in a plane powered by unicorn farts. It’s marketing smoke and mirrors. The reality is Sustainable Aviation Fuel is an evolutionary dead end. Solving the Air Travel issue will require lots of capital.Read More »