The markets have been casting a wary eye on rising CRE losses – figuring these may trigger a renewed bout of banking weakness, but the reality is the market has to cope with normalised interest rates and changed demand patterns. Its pain but also opportunity.

“Leverage, Liquidity and Volatility upturn markets, triggered by policy mistakes, ignorance, hubris or plain getting it wrong. These are dangerous times as multiple issues threaten confusion – so some simple market mantras might help!”

As Greensill and Archegos roil markets and cause losses, they beg the question – who is next? Why is 2021 turning into the year the scams are unravelling? Will leverage on leverage trigger wider implosion or will it be something else, like liquidity?