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Pre 2021 Porridge

  • Tesla, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 26, 2021

    Tesla and Hertz – Whatever next…

    Tesla’s rise into the $1 trillion club is extraordinary - proving that listening to what the momentum crowd is buying, while suspending disbelief and fundamental analysis is one road to success. Hertz is a lesson in seizing the moment – its stock gains and free publicity from its new EV fleet will likely exceed the cost of the cars!

    read more
  • Covid, stagflation, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 25, 2021

    Covid multiplies the Economic Threat

    The risks of Plan B and a further Covid Lockdown are multiplying. It will clearly impact markets, but the real economic effects of Covid combined with energy costs, supply chains and bleak company earnings forecasts may be pushing us towards stagflation anyway.

    read more
  • Bitcoin, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 22, 2021

    The Truth underperforms Pravda, Bitcoin and Evergrande

    If there is common theme to some of the market’s speculative bubbles its their thin supporting veneers of fake credibility and plausible deniability. Trump’s Social Media empire, Bitcoin and Evergrande – all share a core of fundamental emptiness.

    read more
  • Banks, UK, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 21, 2021

    UK Banks – Digital Dinosaurs

    As UK bank reporting season kicks off, the dull, boring, predictable UK banks should look good. But the reality is they are dinosaurs – their failure to digitise and evolve leaves them vulnerable to tech-savy FinTechs and Challenger filling their niche. If the future of modern finance is a Tech hypersonic missile… British Banks are still building steam trains. 

    read more
  • Bank of England, Inflation, interest rates, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 19, 2021

    Transitory leads to Permanent Mistakes

    The biggest risk to markets have always been policy mistakes by central banks and/or governments. The risks are rising as confusions about inflation abound. The reality is Central banks have tripped themselves – by assuring us inflation was transitory, they’ve pretty much nailed on its permanence!

    read more
  • Central Banks, Businesses, Capitalism, Markets, ESG, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 13, 2021

    On Holiday: So, Farewell to all that…

    One simply can’t ignore a bleeping email. So much for being on holiday, but this week I will simply observe and repeat: please don’t break the market while I’m out!

    read more
  • UK, Government, Government Policy, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 7, 2021

    Boris’ Economics Plan scores an E-

    Boris whipped the Tory faithful into a frenzy with his “wizard” economic plans, but it was empty, hollow and doomed bluster full of soundbites and repeating policy mistakes like austerity and higher taxes. It’s time for Government to get radical and retro-build the economy from top to bottom – all of which is imminently possible if they learn the lessons of the pandemic.

    read more
  • Facebook, Regulation, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 6, 2021

    Digital Cancer – Will Facebook go the Way of the Tobacco Companies?

    The market has apparently shrugged off the platform outages and whistleblower testimony on Facebook’s prioritisation of profits over people. Or is Facebook mortally wounded and a regulatory quietus inevitable? Can the social media genie be put back in the bottle?

    read more
  • stagflation, Inflation, Energy, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 5, 2021

    Fraxious Markets, Real Inflation Fears, and Opportunity!

    Fraxious markets as stocks wobble, fears rise, energy prices spike; what’s to worry about? Preparing for inflation would be one thing – but being ready for opportunity is another!

    read more
  • Recession, Supply Chains, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    October 4, 2021

    How long will it take to Normalise, and what will Normal look like?

    Christmas is cancelled as supply chains crumble, stagflation mounts and jobs are lost… How long will it last, will there be a buying opportunity, and what will a new normal economy look like?  

    read more
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  • Pre 2021 Porridge

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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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