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Trade Wars

  • Trade, Commodities, Artificial Intelligence, Geopolitics, China, USA,
    October 30, 2025

    What did the Korea Summit really mean for markets?

    This morning’s meeting in Busan, Korea was short and sweet. Goal achieved - the global meltdown that would have followed a rare-earth embargo by China has been avoided. What is more interesting is how it could change the current power set-up in Washington as Scott Bessent and Marco Rubio increasingly take centre stage.

    read more
  • Geopolitics, Political risk, Capitalism, China, Government, USA,
    March 14, 2024

    TikTok – opening salvos in a trade war, or a warning about China-Bias?

    The US is in a tizz about banning TikTok, taking the first steps towards protectionism, censorship and trade war – which will ultimately benefit no one. Both the US and China face significant economic challenges, and both are large markets. Is conflict the only choice?

    read more
  • Brexit, UK, Europe, China, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    June 9, 2021

    Forget the noise, distractions and sausages, the real issue is inflation vs deflation

    As the UK and Yoorp prepare for a set-to over Sausages, the real issue remains inflation vs deflation. Are rising PPIs in China due to speculation on commodities boosting prices, is inflation due to supply glitches, and are the longer-term threats of Central Bank taper, growing West-East tension, and the reality of pandemic debt likely to tip us back into a deflationary cycle?

    read more
  • Tesla, China, Pre 2021 Porridge,
    April 27, 2021

    What’s the Real Story of Tesla in China

    What’s really going on for Tesla in China? Global supply chains remain fragile as the Chinese flex their muscles and national buying power. That may prove problematic for western firms, and especially Tesla. But also it raises questions about investment imperatives on China growth vs flatline in the West.

    read more

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The Morning Porridge is not investment advice. It is market commentary based on discussions and information gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. No guarantee is given for its accuracy or completeness. It is not an offer to buy, sell or solicit investments or securities. The author may have a position in companies or institutions discussed in this commentary.

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