Around the globe, businesses are wondering about doing business in the UK – the headlines don’t support it. Uncertainty is contributing to domestic inflation, and the sense things need to change. It could even get worse ahead of a new government – which will still face crisis!
Pull your buying boots on, lace them up tight and get ready to buy the UK! Even the possibility Boris and the ERG snatch defeat from the jaws of common sense won’t change the narrative: A deal with EU will happen, putting the UK back on some sort of course.
Today we likely get a new PM. The opportunity for Rishi Sunak is challenging, but he may get markets on side and start the recovery process for the deeply dysfunctional and divided Conservative Party. He probably still loses by 2024 – but political stability may be back on the agenda.
Boris in his bunker is a great example of delusion. Eventually those who do not know themselves get sniffed out. Its happening in markets - speculation is dead. Common sense is back.
Big theme for the week in UK politics will be the last act in The Tragedy of Boris Johnson. His likely denouement coincides with rising economic stress, increasing corporate defaults and doubts on sterling. Time to Panic? Not at all! Bring it on.. We’ve suffered worse!
Macron’s victory has been hailed as a market plus, a win for Europe and common purpose, but it’s likely just a crisis averted, perhaps, for a few more years. Around the globe populism will likely be fanned by inflation, food and energy insecurity and become an increasingly destabilising force on markets.
Boris apologised – but is it too late? Resolving the innumerable crises facing the UK requires political focus, and less of the politically expedient indignation being displayed in parliament. It won’t make anything better, threatens further destabilisation, and diminish the UK’s global competitiveness..
Boris whipped the Tory faithful into a frenzy with his “wizard” economic plans, but it was empty, hollow and doomed bluster full of soundbites and repeating policy mistakes like austerity and higher taxes. It’s time for Government to get radical and retro-build the economy from top to bottom – all of which is imminently possible if they learn the lessons of the pandemic.
