U-Turn on Net-Zero Raises Serious UK Market Risks

Rishi Sunak’s U-Turn on Net Zero is politically expedient, but raises serious long-term questions about the investibility of the UK economy and its place in the world, but… hey, it might just win them some votes (just don’t let your kids know!)
Read MoreU-Turn on Net-Zero Raises Serious UK Market Risks

The Market has no Memory when it comes to Bank Capital

It’s International Talk Like A Pirate Day, which will make it interesting for UBS trying to persuade once-bitten, twice-shy investors to buy new AT1 CoCo Bond after what happened to Credit Suisse investors.. “Arrr… You know it makes sense, young Jim-me-lad… Shiver-me-timbers… “
Read MoreThe Market has no Memory when it comes to Bank Capital

Why the UK? Things are going to Get Interesting

It’s been a “meh” year for the UK markets, but they’re marginally up on the year. The outlook for a rusted economy, crashing discretionary spending, and an imminent housing collapse looks bad. As the UK electoral cycle kicks into high gear.. markets are in favour of change.
Read MoreWhy the UK? Things are going to Get Interesting

Soft or Crash Landing, Impeachment, and ARM IPO – what a lark…

Are global economies heading for a soft or crash landing? Why the Republicans seeking to impeach President Biden have just played a brilliant short-term political hand, and what the ARM IPO tells us about gullibility in bubble times.
Read MoreSoft or Crash Landing, Impeachment, and ARM IPO – what a lark…

Confusing markets and multiple narratives – test them all!

Markets are treading water trying to figure out directions – some of the underlying narratives look alluring, but they are not all they seem. In confused, uncertain markets, the trick is to remain suspicious of what others are following.
Read MoreConfusing markets and multiple narratives – test them all!

Why the deliberate mistake? What is really going on in the Global Economy?

The Rugby World Cup is a reminder of all that is good, exciting and honest about 30 folk beating the crap out of each other. Enjoy the frenetic mayhem! Meanwhile, what is John Authers trying to tell us. And where are we this 9/11?
Read MoreWhy the deliberate mistake? What is really going on in the Global Economy?

Persimmon is willing to blight the lives of 20,000 Hampshire residents to pay bigger dividends.

The UK’s failure to balance regulation, oversight, and planning is highlighted by insane plans to dig a non-economic quarry in the centre of a prosperous village with no upside except to prioritise shareholders over residents.
Read MorePersimmon is willing to blight the lives of 20,000 Hampshire residents to pay bigger dividends.