Category QE

Blain’s Morning Porridge Bitcoin Bonds Capitalism central banks Climate Change Economy Financial Assets geopolitics Global Growth Markets QE stagflation UK USA

Big Shifts last week set to dominate markets long term

Last week saw a succession of fundamental shifts in how the global economy is working: inflation, China’s reopening, western politics, crypto, Climate Change, Tech stocks, and in Ukraine. These all have significant potential market implications.

China, COP27, Cryptocurrencies, Global Tech, Inflation, US politics
Bill Blain
November 14, 2022
6

Blain’s Morning Porridge Bonds Capitalism central banks Fed Market Crash QE

Bernanke and Dimon: A curious moment in Markets

While Jamie Dimon warns of recession, Ben Bernanke is picking up a Nobel Prize – yet the roots of the multiple crises threatening to overwhelm markets and topple capitalism lie in the solutions they led 14 years ago. They saved the world then – who will rescue it this time?

Blain’s Morning Porridge Alternative Assets Bonds corporate debt Debt ECB Monetary Policy QE

Bond Markets – Don’t Panic Captain Mainwaring (but don’t look behind you…)

In bonds there is pain as prices tumble – but that does not change the fundamentals of investing in bonds. The risk is rising bond yields will expose the dangerous over-valuations low rate distortion has caused across other financial-assets, perhaps causing more than a few bubbles to pop.

Bond Market 101, Credit Markets, Monetary Experimentation, Sovereign Debt
Bill Blain
March 30, 2022
9

Blain’s Morning Porridge central banks interest rates QE Regulation

Taper, Rates, Bond Markets and Consequences

The Fed finally begun its cautious taper and the market did not immediately self-destruct… but the consequences of 14 years of central bank experimentation, regulatory overkill and the “processification’ of markets will have consequences… they may be bleak…

Blain’s Morning Porridge central banks Government Inflation QE USA

The Consequences of Kabul

The shocking return of the Taliban dominates the headlines. It has critical implications for markets. Biden’s loss of credibility creates many hurdles and could drive the US towards isolationism – bruised by yet another flawed foreign adventure. Meanwhile, markets struggle with inflation and climate consequences.

Climate Change, Covid, Inflation, markets, President Biden
Bill Blain
August 16, 2021
10

Blain’s Morning Porridge Alternative Assets Bonds QE Stocks

Watching the Sky for Clues

There is general sense “something wicked this way comes” towards current priced for perfection markets, but trying to define the exact N0-see-um likely to trigger a market correction or meltdown is a notoriously pointless game. However, there are plenty of ways to prepare for whatever comes next….

Alternatives, bonds, Football, Imminent crash?, Meteor Strike, stocks
Bill Blain
April 20, 2021
5

China Covid QE

Blain’s Morning Porridge – June 8 2020: Plans Change..

Blain’s Morning Porridge – June 8th 2020 – Plans and Expectations Change “I Choose Violence.” When the narrative starts to…

Bill Blain
June 8, 2020

QE Rant

Blain’s Morning Porridge – June 1 2020: The Disconnect Widens

Blain’s Morning Porridge – June 1st 2020 – The Disconnect Widens “Lemon tree very pretty and lemon flower is sweet.…

Bill Blain
June 1, 2020

Europe Germany QE

Blain’s Morning Porridge – May 6th 2020 Europe Wobbles

Blain’s Morning Porridge – May 6th 2020 “Let us sing more cheerful songs, more songs full of joy!” I am…

Bill Blain
May 6, 2020

Covid Europe Markets QE

Blain’s Morning Porridge – May 4 2020 – Is it Spring Time?

Blain’s Morning Porridge – May 4th 2020 “Why that’s absurd, the wing is on the bird” Economies are poised to…

Bill Blain
May 4, 2020

AI Trading Bots? Retail Beware
May 31, 2023
Let’s assume the US Debt crisis is averted. What comes next? A full-on speculative bubble and hype around Artificial Intelligence is underway. How will AI influence trading strategies, or turn markets into gray-goo? Will AI trading prove to be little more than finding new innovative ways to relieve retail investors of their money?Read More »
The Importance of Real versus Maybe Returns in Investment
May 30, 2023
AI has become the markets new, new thang/bubble as investors pile into the new, new narrative forgetting the fundamental rules of investment are about generating dull, boring, predictable returns which look frothy in hot stocks, negative yields in bonds, thus positive returns from real assets stand out!Read More »
UK Inflation is Sticky… Wow! Try telling that to the Bank of England. Why?
May 25, 2023
Yesterday’s UK inflation numbers hint the Bank doesn’t understand the modern drivers of inflation or how to address them. It leaves some stark likely outcomes: stagflation or a Reflationary Death Scramble. Neither are good.Read More »
BRICS? China’s Economic Strategy is Propaganda-driven in the Geopolitical Rut.
May 24, 2023
There is a myth BRICS nations now exceed the GDP of the G7 West. It’s propaganda to boost a story of de-dollarisation, anti-G7 rhetoric and how China and its allies will create a stronger, more equal global market. It’s like watching Stags fight for dominance.Read More »
Fishing, Markets, the UK and the Scandal of the Libor Scandal!
May 22, 2023
Markets remain obscure and uncertain, but the UK’s virtuous sovereign trinity and financial exceptionalism is at stake as political graft mounts and a previous financial scandal comes back as a new one – the Libor Scandal needs investigation.Read More »