Category Political risk

Blain’s Morning Porridge central banks Covid Inflation Political risk Politics

Inflation, Covid, Central Banks and Politics – about half the things to really worry about…

As markets shake off their summer slumbers, what should we be worrying about? Lots..! From real vs transitory inflation arguments, the long-term economic consequences of Covid, the future for Central Banking unable to unravel its Gordian knot of monetary experimentation, and the prospects for rising political instability in the US and Europe.

central banks, Covid, Federal Reserve, Inflation, politics, Retail Savings
Bill Blain
August 24, 2021
6

Blain’s Morning Porridge Climate Change Government Political risk

A Code Red Political Crisis is Coming

The UN has declared a Code Red Climate Emergency. As we all know addressing climate change has enormous implications for investment strategies, but can governments collectively deliver the joined-up and effective policies required to save the planet? The jury is out…

Code-Red Climate Change Emergency, Environment, Political Risk
Bill Blain
August 10, 2021
18

The UK’s Green Gilt is Marketing Puff and a Pointless Distraction
September 22, 2021
The UK attracted a record £137 bln order book for its £10 bln Green Gilt. But what does the Green Gilt achieve? Its marketing puff. It may disguise how ill-considered and ultimately self-defeating the Government’s rush to looking green has been. No matter how well intentioned a Green Gilt is – its style over substance, papering over the cracks in …Read More »
Is Evergrande a symptom of deeper malaise?
September 21, 2021
Evergrande’s imminent default is rocking markets – but few believe the collapse of a Chinese property developer could trigger a global financial crisis. What if Evergrande is just a symptom of a deeper malaise within the Chinese economy and its political/business structures? Maybe there is more at stake than we realise? What if Emperor Xi decides he needs a distraction?Read More »
Beginning to look like a Messy Cascade
September 20, 2021
The most destructive rock falls start with a single pebble trigging a cascading chain reaction. Are markets heading towards a cascading crash as spiking energy costs join inflation and supply chains on the list of likely meltdown trigger points? Or should we relax?Read More »
Stock Momentum, Covid and Big Tech
September 15, 2021
Stock markets feel like they are running out of momentum – but that should not lead to fears of a no-see-um crash, rather a more fundamental assessment of the reasons why? In the UK, Plan B – National Economic Suicide by winter Lockdowns – looks on the cards. And, despite all the wonders of Big Tech and promises about how …Read More »
Apple has a monopoly on being Apple!
September 14, 2021
Highlight event today is Apple launching new bright-shiny-things. Apple is unique – it has a monopoly of being Apple! For how long?Read More »