Category Political risk

It’s not over till it’s over, and it’s not over yet…

The immediate debt ceiling crisis has passed, but it’s not the end of the rolling uncertainty that characterises current markets. The pressures and tensions fuelling political division and driving maket uncertainty are set to increase rather than moderate.

The Long and the Short and the Tall of trying to figure out investment strategies.

Markets are focused on the immediate debt-ceiling crisis, and the short-term game of guessing rates vs inflation. Down the line are the bigger challenges of the medium and long-term: issues we need to be investing in now to garner long-run returns or just to survive!

Don’t worry about the UK – I’ve got an idea…

Gosh… The Rest of the World wonders how the UK has suddenly become a corruption-raddled third world kleptocracy. The optics are terrible. Even the Russians are moving out! Fortunately, there may be a solution:  let’s be British about it, and show everyone we can do political knavery better than anyone else!

Kwarteng wins Financial Idiot of the Year as IMF warns on the dangers of debt and swaps… and Buttcon worth $1?

Good is bad, and bad is good as Kwasi Kwarteng wins the Financial Idiot of the Year award as the IMF warns about the consequences and dangers of $80 trillion of hidden swap debt and rising global debt levels. Should we worry? Probably.

Leverage, Liquidity and Volatility – the three pale riders of value destruction

“Leverage, Liquidity and Volatility upturn markets, triggered by policy mistakes, ignorance, hubris or plain getting it wrong. These are dangerous times as multiple issues threaten confusion – so some simple market mantras might help!”