Category Markets

Blain’s Morning Porridge Covid Markets

Coronavirus remains a destabilising threat

As Freedom Day in the UK approaches, just what are the risks? Rising infections, and more virulent and dangerous mutated variants could still put a kybosh on reopening. Are we doomed to a repeating cycle of lockdowns? And what could that mean for markets? Probably another opportunity..

Covid, Destabilisation, Freedom Day, UK Economy
Bill Blain
July 13, 2021
2

UK Blain’s Morning Porridge Markets

Complacent Goldilocks Got Eaten by Bear

The weather on the Pacific Northwest has turned ugly, as might the financial weather if the current degree of market complacency proves unfounded!

Geopolitics, Inflation, jobs, Market risks, Pandemic, Recovery
Bill Blain
June 30, 2021
6

Blain’s Morning Porridge EVs Markets Tesla

Viva la revolution! Futbol Libre! Futbol Libre!

Football, the beautiful game, is anything but pretty this morning. Could the mass-revulsion trigger something fundamental in terms of the shift towards stakeholder capitalism? Meanwhile, markets remain on highs, but there as signs the madness has gone too far. Do cracks in cryptos and over-priced stocks mean a wobble is coming? And, as the Shanghai Motor Show gets headlines – how deep is Tesla’s Moat? Not very…

Automotives, EVs, Football, Pandemic Recovery
Bill Blain
April 19, 2021
2

Blain’s Morning Porridge Global Growth Markets USA Virus Recovery

Buy, Eat, Buy, Sleep, Repeat?

Markets are priced for perfection in a very imperfect world. As stocks hit new highs, are the bulls or bears correct? Politics are likely to be the major influence on where we go next, but lurking around the next corner might just be inflation.

Biden, Growth, Jamie Dimon, Pandemic Recovery, Yellen
Bill Blain
April 8, 2021
4

Blain’s Morning Porridge China Cyberstrike Economy Market Crash Markets Megatrends Supply Chains USA

Brace, Brace, Brace: Global Supply Chains, Instability and Archegos

You could not make this up; an unimaginably complex WW3 Techno-thriller unfolding as markets stumble and global supply chains hover on the edge of anarchy. On the other hand, maybe that’s just the way it was planned.

Archegos, China, Coronavirus, Global Economy, Supply Chains, US
Bill Blain
March 29, 2021
10

Blain’s Morning Porridge Greensill Markets

Lochaber No More

Everyone thinks current market volatility is due to the bond market acting like a bully. When it lashes out the market sells off in fright. Volatility is elevated and everyone is flustered about bursting bubbles

Bill Blain
March 2, 2021

Financial Crisis Blain’s Morning Porridge Markets Tech

Don’t Fight The Fed?

There is an old market rule – don’t fight the Fed. Jay Powell has been crystal clear: rates are staying lower for longer. But the ongoing sell-off in Treasuries, and rising global bond yields, paints an interesting story of a market unconvinced rates can be held down

Bill Blain
February 26, 2021

Blain’s Morning Porridge France Markets

Near and Far, Why to Buy!

Interesting markets as tech wobbles on the perceived inflation threat while bond yields continue to edge upwards. In our regular virtual-office Monday huddle we debated whether the inflation threat is real, immediate or likely to be delayed

Bill Blain
February 23, 2021

Economy Blain’s Morning Porridge Investing Markets

Act Big, Think Careful

Blain’s Morning Porridge – Feb 17 2020 – Act Big, Think Careful “The secret of getting ahead is getting started.”…

Bill Blain
February 17, 2021

Markets Coal Mining Financial Assets Humour Investing

Party On!

Blain’s Morning Porridge – Feb 16th 2020 – Party On! Don’t get angry, read my lips, we’ve all got, new…

Bill Blain
February 16, 2021

To predict Europe’s future read some Japanese history..
July 23, 2021
The ECB has tweaked the words and now has low interest rates forever, and a new mandate to “tolerate” higher inflation. What will it achieve? To answer look at the failed 30 year experiment in Japan and the multiple parallels. The outlook for Europe as a global economic and innovative powerhouse looks shaky.Read More »
Markets are ignoring the new inflation reality
July 22, 2021
Markets have entirely recovered after their wobble earlier this week, but it’s based on a simple belief: central banks will stand behind markets. Investors are increasingly convinced inflation threats are irrelevant – and they are wrong to do so. Inflation risks are growing from immediate climate change, the costs of rising environmental instability and inflation leaching out of financial assets …Read More »
An Open Letter to Lutz Schueler, CEO of Virgin Media: Congratulations on your success in cutting out customers!
July 21, 2021
An open letter congratulating the CEO of Virgin Media, Lutz Schueler for perfecting the art of completely ignoring customers.Read More »
Markets and how Tech is going to kill us all
July 21, 2021
Markets are fretting. Up one day and down the next? Do they believe in the dire fundamentals or inflation threat, or keep buying Central Banks juicing the markets? Never mind; hot disruptive tech stocks can only ever go up… But where do they eventually lead us? I suspect Tech will eventually kill us all…Read More »
Freedom? Markets and Climate Chaos
July 19, 2021
Its “Freedom Day” in the UK, but it feels same as, same as. Bond markets look stressed, but freak weather is raising the probability government intervention dwarfing the scale of the pandemic may become necessary. There will not be a gradual, ordered progression to a new higher temperature climate. Instead… the reality looks like high-cost chaotic freak-weather events becoming increasingly …Read More »