Category interest rates

Interest Rate Scenarios: Stick with the Normalisation Cure, or another Puff of QE Skunk?

Expectations of early interest rate cuts are high, especially as recession signals are set to rise through Q1 2024. Will Central Banks stay the course and normalise interest rates, or will be take the easy option of further low interest rate distortion?

The Hornet in the Bedroom Moment makes everything feel much, much worse… but its bad enough already.

Are current markets turning into a bad dream? There are so many reasons to be fearful, but giving into our terrors shows how driven by bias we are. A Hornet in the Bedroom Moment can make everything look bad. The reality is… probably not as bad as it looks!

Markets may be in for Stormy Second Half – Could low pressure in CLOs threaten to turn Cyclonic?

Many think Markets are set fair for the second half of 2023 – but what if a mighty depression is brewing out there in the ocean of corporate debt? I am looking at the glass (barometer for the non-nautical) falling and at the CLO market in particular. There may be a storm brewing.

Inflation, Rates, Recession or Stagflation – nothing is clear yet

esterday’s US CPI numbers look good at a glance, but the reality is the Western economies may face ongoing sticky inflation and long-term stagflation while reversing the economic damage of a decade plus of monetary experimentation. That requires new investment approaches.