Category Financial Crisis

Consumption is the crisis. Market doesn’t get it!

Consumption and a cost-of-living crisis are upon us, but markets blithely assume it’s all upside to 2023. The risk is not a massive crash, but growing realisation the global economy has peaked, needs a period of normalisation and a reset after the madness of the last decade.

Halloween, and a scary market outlook indeed – but not nearly as bad as you may fear!

Halloween is a great time to be scared about markets. They are inconsistent,  confused and uncertain, but the reality is even rising interest rates, inflation and trade wars sort themselves out - eventually. The real danger is how much worse bad politics and make a scary situation absolutely frightful.

Leverage, Liquidity and Volatility – the three pale riders of value destruction

“Leverage, Liquidity and Volatility upturn markets, triggered by policy mistakes, ignorance, hubris or plain getting it wrong. These are dangerous times as multiple issues threaten confusion – so some simple market mantras might help!”

What comes next? Markets are mean reverting, are you prepared?

Well, that was a fun week… but the UK’s travails are the tip of the iceberg of market pain facing the global economy. More political, geopolitical, liquidity and leverage driven crises are coming as markets reverse out the QE era. Don’t Panic!

The UK crisis: Questions that Must be Asked: How was it allowed to happen?

The UK confidence crisis is not over yet. Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng is saying nothing, hoping for stability. The Bank of England finds itself providing top cover by its willingness to hike rates. The Treasury Select Committee should be asking what advice the OBR, Treasury, The Bank of England and the Gilts Office gave Kwarteng.

The Everything Sell Off – Triggers and Consequences

Global Markets have nosedived – the UK’s confidence crisis is one trigger alongside rising recession risks, crashing consumer spending and host of indications we ain’t near done on higher interest rates as inflation becomes embedded into economies and dollar strength continues unabated.