Category Energy

Blain’s Morning Porridge Alternative Assets Bitcoin Bonds central banks China Debt ECB Energy European Sovereign Credit Financial Assets Future geopolitics Government Policy Inflation interest rates Investing lithium Markets Oil Political risk stagflation Tech

A series of unpredictable things that might or might not happen in 2022!

Occasionally the Morning Porridge strikes a lucky insight on markets – this morning here are some thoughts on how 2022 markets and events may or may not develop. If they occur I shall hail myself an investment genius. If not, can we quietly forget them?

2022 Predictions and Outlook, ARK and Bitcoin, VSI - Tesla
Bill Blain
January 14, 2022
7

Blain’s Morning Porridge Capitalism China Energy Political risk Trump USA

Omens and Signs – what lies ahead?

Lots of small signals, rising rates, a tech wobble, Covid vs freedom, China’s Covid crisis and the anniversary of the Capitol riot make for a rich stew of confusion in today’s markets!

Capitol Riot, Covid in China, Energy Crisis
Bill Blain
January 6, 2022
3

Blain’s Morning Porridge Covid Energy ESG Inflation Markets Tesla

Covid is dead. Energy is the new crisis.

Markets are welcoming victory versus COVID, but the next crisis is upon us: Energy instability. The consequences could be dramatic..

Covid, Covid Economic Risks, Energy Crisis
Bill Blain
January 4, 2022
10

Blain’s Morning Porridge Climate Change Energy ESG Global Growth Green Energy

Christmas Special Number 1: Energy Transition and Why We Should Not Panic..

Climate Change and Energy Transition is one of the great challenges to capitalism and market economies – but there is no reason to fear it. Its complex, but infinitely solvable. The technologies exist to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050 at a cost far less than doomsters fear.

Climate Change, Energy Transition, Net Carbon Zero
Bill Blain
December 21, 2021
20

Blain’s Morning Porridge Covid Energy stagflation

The Omicron Economic Threat

Lockdowns and travel restrictions highlight the economic damage Omicron has done to the whole European Economy. Corporate resilience will be severely tested – whatever governments decide. The likelihood of stagflation has risen, but markets are likely to benefit from buy-the-dip mentality as investors weigh-up renewed government support if/when it turns nasty!

Blain’s Morning Porridge Bonds China Debt Economy Energy Equities geopolitics Inflation stagflation Stocks Supply Chains USA

2022 Outlook – Politics will be a worry, but Credit will be the Big Risk

Let me present a list of things to worry about next year. Inflation, US and China growth, Stagflation, Central Banks, Stocks, Climate and Equality, etc, etc.. But the big risks will be the consequences of US Politics and a Liquidity Meltdown in the Credit Markets.

Outlook for 2022
Bill Blain
December 14, 2021
8

Blain’s Morning Porridge Bonds central banks Climate Change Debt Energy

Market Judders As a Bleak Winter Begins

Did you feel markets judder when Powell spoke? The mood has changed as markets wake up to the danger Central Banks might just start doing their jobs. As Winter begins, Europe faces a bleak energy crisis of its own making. My solution? Buy a generator!

Bleak Winter Outlook, Energy Crisis, Market Judder
Bill Blain
December 1, 2021
6

Blain’s Morning Porridge Energy Inflation stagflation

Fraxious Markets, Real Inflation Fears, and Opportunity!

Fraxious markets as stocks wobble, fears rise, energy prices spike; what’s to worry about? Preparing for inflation would be one thing – but being ready for opportunity is another!

Inflation, Market Fears, Opportunity, Stagflation
Bill Blain
October 5, 2021

Blain’s Morning Porridge China Energy Markets USA

Part 1: What to fear most? Markets? Energy? America or China?

October is the cruellest month for markets. What to fear most? Markets? Energy? China? or America? Or will it be a “no-see-um” that sinks us?

Blain’s Morning Porridge Energy ESG Europe UK

The Looming Energy Crisis: People Are Going To Die This Winter

Porridge Extra – 30th September 2021: The Looming Energy Crisis: People Are Going To Die This Winter For many months…

Golf – why something so daft makes sense
June 8, 2023
Golf – you have to laugh. But there is serious upside to be made from global sports franchise values as leisure time, AI, and prosperous middle classes emerge around the globe. Saudi might be the proverbial bull in a China-shop with their wallet, but it’s a plan!Read More »
Joe 90 had mixed-reality vision 55 years ago!
June 6, 2023
Joe 90 was there 55 years ago. Apple spent a fortune on developing the mega-hyped VisionPro mixed reality headset – and it comes with a battery pack??? WTF! It won’t sink the company, but may remind us its mortal.Read More »
Learning from mistakes to call the next ones…
June 5, 2023
The debt ceiling crisis has lifted a cloud from markets, but we’re still looking for resolution on inflation, geopolitics and a host of other issues. Maybe the real issues are about valuations – which remain over-extraordinary.Read More »
It’s not over till it’s over, and it’s not over yet…
June 2, 2023
The immediate debt ceiling crisis has passed, but it’s not the end of the rolling uncertainty that characterises current markets. The pressures and tensions fuelling political division and driving maket uncertainty are set to increase rather than moderate.Read More »
AI Trading Bots? Retail Beware
May 31, 2023
Let’s assume the US Debt crisis is averted. What comes next? A full-on speculative bubble and hype around Artificial Intelligence is underway. How will AI influence trading strategies, or turn markets into gray-goo? Will AI trading prove to be little more than finding new innovative ways to relieve retail investors of their money?Read More »